Central Banks


The final estimate for GDP is in line with the market concensus.

The Atlanta Fed is out with their last estimate for 1Q GDP before its official release at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow morning.

Their model suggests GDP growth of 2% which is unchanged from its last reading. In their own words:

The final GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2018 is 2.0 percent on April 26, unchanged from April 17. The nowcast of the contribution of net exports to first-quarter real GDP growth increased from -0.68 percentage points to -0.30 percentage points after this morning’s advance release on international trade in goods from the U.S. Census Bureau. This increase was offset by a decline in the nowcast of real nonresidential equipment investment growth from 7.0 percent to 4.2 percent after this morning’s durable manufacturing release from the Census Bureau and a decline in the nowcast of the contribution of inventory investment to real GDP growth from 1.07 percentage points to 0.81 percentage points after the manufacturing release and this morning’s advance release on retail and wholesale trade inventories from the Census Bureau.

The consensus from economists is estimating 2% for 1st quarter growth



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