Central Banks


The FOMC minutes will be released Thursday at 1800 GMT

Bank of America Global Research discusses its expectations for tomorrow’s FOMC meeting minute.

The FOMC minutes should provide more detail about the possible strategies Fed officials are discussing to enhance forward guidance. There
seems to be a growing consensus that an optimal path is to use outcome
based guidance, linking the ZLB to an average inflation target of 2%.
The Fed could also consider strengthening this commitment with
date-based guidance, suggesting that an average inflation rate of 2% won
t
be reached until a given date, reinforcing the intention to keep rates
at the ZLB for a prolonged period. The bigger debate seems to be over
whether to use balance sheet to support forward guidance which could
take the form of yield caps or a chance 
in the composition of the B/S. The pros and cons of each approach will be informative,” BofA notes. 

“Given
that we expect some changes in the upcoming September meeting, these
minutes will be a useful way of communicating the potential adjustments
to policy
,” BofA adds.

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